Optimal dynamic hedging using futures under a borrowing constraint
BIS Working Papers
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No
109
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04 January 2002
Both financial and non-financial firms routinely implement hedging policies to
mitigate their exposure to changes in asset prices. However, while these
policies may perform satisfactorily in the limited sense of hedging the exposure
under consideration, they might increase the overall likelihood of financial
distress due to the liquidity risks that they create. This paper examines the
case of hedging price risk using derivative contracts that are marked to market
(such as futures contracts) and hence subject to margin calls. It is shown that
liquidity risk, stemming from the need to meet margin calls on the futures
position, can be a significant source of risk and can even lead to financial
distress even though the firm remains "hedged". Such risks should therefore be
taken into account in the formulation of an optimal hedging policy. This paper
derives the dynamic hedging strategy of a firm that uses futures contracts to
hedge a spot market exposure. The risk emanating from the margin requirement on
futures contracts is incorporated into the hedging decision by restricting the
borrowing capacity of the firm. It is shown that this leads to a substantial
reduction in the firm's optimal hedge, especially if the hedging horizon is
long. The results provide theoretical support for the low level of hedging
observed empirically.